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Does Warren Buffett Know Something That Wall | Investment News

  • Writer: Analyst
    Analyst
  • Mar 11
  • 4 min read

Does Warren Buffett Know Something That Wall – Investment News

Warren Buffett identified a key distinction between himself and Wall Street in his newest letter to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B). He famous that he does not use earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), referring to the financial metric as “a flawed favorite of Wall Street.”

This divergent tackle EBITDA displays simply the tip of the iceberg of what could possibly be described as diametrically completely different views. Does Buffett know one thing Wall Street does not? The reply is as clear as day.

Until lately, Wall Street appeared downright giddy. The S&P 500 soared 28.5% between Jan. 1, 2024 and Feb. 18, 2025. However, the index has since fallen 7% from its peak.

Why? Probably the largest cause is that traders are anxious in regards to the adverse influence of the Trump administration’s proposed tariffs.

The fascinating factor about all of that is that President Donald Trump is doing (or at the very least taking initial steps to do) precisely what he mentioned he would do when he ran for a second presidential time period. Trump promised tariffs; now he is transferring to implement them.

However, any trace of a reprieve from the levying of tariffs brings a sigh of reduction from Wall Street. You may say the market is in a “hope/worry” cycle.

Meanwhile, most analysts nonetheless advocate shopping for the shares which have led the bull market over the last couple of years or so. For instance, 58 of the 63 analysts surveyed by LSEG in March view Nvidia as a buy or a sturdy buy, with the outliers recommending holding the stock.

This optimism is not restricted to Nvidia. However, Wall Street stays typically optimistic regardless of a stock market that is valued at traditionally high ranges. Just take a look at the Shiller S&P 500 CAPE ratio. Despite a decline over the last few weeks, the valuation metric remains to be close to its second-highest degree ever.

Buffett hasn’t been almost as bullish as Wall Street. That’s evident from his actions because the stock market soared.

For one factor, the multibillionaire investor has been a internet vendor of shares for 9 consecutive quarters. Sure, the “Oracle of Omaha” has continued to buy a few shares. However, he is not discovering a lot to his liking today.

Buffett did not even authorize stock buybacks of Berkshire Hathaway within the fourth quarter of 2024. That’s putting, contemplating that Berkshire has repurchased at the very least some of its shares in each earlier quarter over the last 5 years.

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What Buffett has been doing, although, is building a large money stockpile. He tried to downplay this in his current letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, stating, “Despite what some commentators currently view as an extraordinary cash position at Berkshire, the great majority of your money remains in equities.”

That’s true. However, it is also true that Berkshire’s money place of $334.2 billion is extraordinary (as the next chart reveals).

Does Buffett know one thing that Wall Street does not? Yes. And I believe it may be summed up by one of his most well-known statements: “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”

Buffett understands that the best occasions to buy shares are once they’re on sale. He clearly hasn’t thought that is the case for a whereas, though analysts continued to induce traders to buy shares hand over fist.

Perhaps essentially the most important factor Buffett is aware of that Wall Street seemingly does not, nonetheless, is the significance of specializing in the long time period. I doubt he is anxious in regards to the influence of tariffs as a result of he expects them to be non permanent. As Buffett lately wrote to Berkshire shareholders in regards to the shares the conglomerate owns:

Over time, we predict it extremely seemingly that beneficial properties will prevail — why else would we buy these securities? — although the year-by-year numbers will swing wildly and unpredictably. Our horizon for such commitments is nearly at all times far longer than a single yr. In many, our pondering includes many years. These long-termers are the purchases that generally make the money register ring like church bells.

You will not hear many, if any, people on Wall Street making that sort of assertion. But Buffett’s long-term perspective is the principle cause why he has been so profitable. The distinction in his outlook versus Wall Street’s is really as clear as day.

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Keith Speights has positions in Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure coverage.

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